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Liga Profesional (Argentina)
·
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
3rd · 28 pts·DDWDW
vs
—
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
1st · 31 pts·WLDLW
The story

Title race titans clash as Estudiantes defend top spot

League leaders Estudiantes L.P. face a stern test of their title credentials against a surging Velez Sarsfield side sitting just three points behind them.

Match news & current form

Velez Sarsfield enter this fixture 3rd in the table on 28 points, firmly in the title race with 30 games still to play. They have become difficult to beat, maintaining a five-match unbeaten streak (W1, D4), which includes a hard-fought 1-1 draw away at Deportivo Riestra last time out and a 2-2 draw against River Plate.

Estudiantes L.P. currently control the title race from the summit with 31 points. However, their momentum has faltered significantly; they have suffered three defeats in their last five outings, including recent 0-2 losses to both Sarmiento Junin and Deportivo Riestra. They will be looking to rediscover the clinical edge that saw them thrash Gimnasia 4-0 earlier this month.

Head-to-head history

Historical meetings between these two have often favoured the home side, with Velez securing a dominant 4-0 victory in May 2022 and a 2-0 win in May 2023. Estudiantes claimed their own 2-0 victory in the October 2022 encounter, suggesting a trend where the host often dictates the scoreline.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Velez Sarsfield are unbeaten in their last five league matches.
  • Estudiantes L.P. have failed to score in three of their last five fixtures.
  • Four of Velez's last five matches have ended in draws.
  • Estudiantes have lost three of their last four away trips in the league.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength for this top-of-the-table clash, with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported for either side. This allows both managers to field their strongest lineups in a match that could determine who takes sole control of the summit.

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We have published a signal on Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Velez Sarsfield0.9
–
0.7Estudiantes L.P.
Season average total: 1.63 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Velez Sarsfield winDrawEstudiantes L.P. win
Market call
Double chance : Velez Sarsfield or Draw
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Velez SarsfieldVelez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
1.22Goals scored / game1.08
0.81Goals conceded / game0.65
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Velez Sarsfield 27 games, Estudiantes L.P. 26 games.

Velez SarsfieldVelez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
37%Games with a clean sheet46%
15%Games they failed to score50%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Velez Sarsfield
1–0
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
0–3
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
2–0
Estudiantes L.P.
Form check

Their recent form.

Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
Velez SarsfieldvTigre
3–2
W
Newells Old BoysvVelez Sarsfield
1–1
D
Velez SarsfieldvEstudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
Deportivo RiestravVelez Sarsfield
1–1
D
River PlatevVelez Sarsfield
2–2
D
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Estudiantes L.P.vPlatense
2–1
W
Velez SarsfieldvEstudiantes L.P.
1–0
L
Estudiantes L.P.vNewells Old Boys
0–0
D
Sarmiento JuninvEstudiantes L.P.
2–0
L
Estudiantes L.P.vGimnasia L.P.
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga Profesional (Argentina) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
16
9
4
3
+12
31
2
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
16
8
6
2
+13
30
3
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
16
7
7
2
+6
28
4
Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba
16
7
5
4
+4
26
5
IndependienteIndependiente
16
6
6
4
+4
24
6
LanusLanus
16
6
6
4
+3
24
7
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
16
5
7
4
+0
22
8
Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
16
5
6
5
+4
21
9
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba
16
6
3
7
+0
21
10
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
16
4
7
5
-3
19
11
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
16
5
4
7
-8
19
12
PlatensePlatense
16
3
7
6
-5
16
13
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
16
4
4
8
-10
16
14
Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
16
3
6
7
-12
15
15
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
16
1
8
7
-7
11