Both Venezia and Fiorentina arrive at the Stadio Penzo desperate to secure their first points of the campaign and move out of the early-season relegation zone.
Venezia sit 18th on 0 points after three matches, having suffered a narrow 3-2 defeat to Frosinone last time out. Despite the slow start, manager Giovanni Stroppa retains the board's backing after leading the club to the Serie B title in May. The Lagunari have looked competitive in spells but are still searching for the defensive solidity that defined their promotion campaign.
Fiorentina are currently 20th and bottom of the table after three consecutive losses, most recently a 0-4 thumping by AS Roma. The 'Viola' board took drastic action this week, sacking Fabio Grosso after just four competitive matches. Paolo Vanoli has been re-appointed to steady the ship, returning to the club he previously steered to safety as interim coach last season.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Fiorentina are the stronger side — 71 rating points clear of Venezia.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Venezia 5 games, Fiorentina 5 games.
Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.