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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Vitoria
Vitoria
15th · 38 pts·WLDDL
vs
—
Bahia
Bahia
6th · 53 pts·LWLDW
The story

Ba-Vi Rivalry Ignites as Bahia Chase Continental Spot

A high-stakes Ba-Vi derby sees 12th-placed Vitoria looking to distance themselves from the drop zone while 6th-placed Bahia fight to cement their continental qualification position.

Match news & current form

Vitoria enter this derby with significant momentum at the Estádio Manoel Barradas, having secured a morale-boosting 1-0 victory over Botafogo in their last outing. Currently 12th on 29 points, they are on an upward trajectory, winning two of their last three home games including a dominant 4-0 thrashing of Atletico Paranaense.

Bahia arrive as the league's ultimate stalemate specialists, having drawn all of their last five matches. Despite sitting 6th on 34 points and holding a continental place, their inability to convert draws into wins—most recently a 3-3 thriller against Chapecoense—has stalled their push for the top four. They are desperate to end an eight-match winless run on the road.

Head-to-head history

While Bahia have generally held the upper hand in historical meetings, recent encounters have been tight and competitive with no clear long-term dominance. This instalment of the Ba-Vi carries extra weight given both sides have 17 games remaining to define their seasons at opposite ends of the table.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Vitoria have won 8 of their last 11 Serie A matches at the Estádio Manoel Barradas.
  • Bahia are currently on a five-match drawing streak in league play.
  • The visitors have failed to record an away victory in their last eight attempts.
  • Vitoria have scored two or more goals in 78% of their league matches this season.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported for the derby. Vitoria will rely on their home scoring form, having recently seen a spread of goals across their 4-0 win over Atletico Paranaense, while Bahia's bench remains a balanced threat with several players contributing single goals and assists as substitutes this term.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Vitoria1.4
–
1.1Bahia
Season average total: 2.54 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Vitoria winDrawBahia win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Bahia
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

VitoriaVitoriaBahiaBahia
1.06Goals scored / game1.45
1.45Goals conceded / game1.27
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Vitoria 33 games, Bahia 33 games.

VitoriaVitoriaBahiaBahia
33%Games with a clean sheet27%
30%Games they failed to score15%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Vitoria
0–2
Bahia
Bahia
1–1
Vitoria
Bahia
2–1
Vitoria
Vitoria
0–1
Bahia
Vitoria
2–1
Bahia
Form check

Their recent form.

Vitoria
Vitoria
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
CoritibavVitoria
2–0
L
VitoriavAtletico Paranaense
1–1
D
CorinthiansvVitoria
1–1
D
Sao PaulovVitoria
2–1
L
VitoriavChapecoense-sc
4–0
W
Bahia
Bahia
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
BahiavSao Paulo
3–2
W
SantosvBahia
1–1
D
BahiavFlamengo
0–3
L
BahiavMirassol
1–0
W
PalmeirasvBahia
1–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21