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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Vitoria
Vitoria
15th · 38 pts·WLDDL
vs
—
Botafogo
Botafogo
14th · 39 pts·LDWLL
The story

Vitoria target home resurgence against travel-weary Botafogo

A clash at the Barradao sees Vitoria fighting to pull clear of the relegation scrap while Botafogo attempt to bridge the three-point gap to the European qualification spots.

Match news & current form

Vitoria enter this fixture 13th in the table on 26 points, sitting just four points above the drop zone with 18 games remaining. Survival is far from secured, and the hosts are desperate to snap a four-game winless run in Serie A. However, confidence has been bolstered by a recent 4-0 thrashing of Athletico Paranaense in the Copa do Brasil, proving their potency at the Barradao.

Franclim Carvalho’s Botafogo occupy ninth place with 30 points, but they arrive under significant pressure following a heavy midweek defeat in the Copa Sudamericana. While their away attack is the third-best in the division, they must overcome the physical toll of their recent travels to Peru to maintain their pursuit of a top-six finish.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters have been incredibly tight, with four of the last five meetings between these two sides ending in draws. This includes a 0-0 stalemate in their rearranged first-round fixture just last month. Botafogo have managed only a single victory in their last five attempts against Vitoria.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Vitoria have won seven of their 10 home league matches this season.
  • Botafogo have the third-worst defensive record on the road, conceding 19 goals in 11 away trips.
  • Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have ended in a draw.
  • Vitoria are looking to avoid a fourth consecutive league defeat after recent losses to Flamengo and Palmeiras.
Key players & missing men

Vitoria's attack has been reliable at home, netting 15 goals in 10 matches at the Barradao. Botafogo will rely on their potent away strike force, which has produced 17 goals on the road, though their backline remains prone to costly errors. No fresh injury concerns were reported for either side in the buildup, though Botafogo may rotate due to the fatigue of their midweek trip to Cusco.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Vitoria1.6
–
1.0Botafogo
Season average total: 2.59 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Vitoria winDrawBotafogo win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Botafogo
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

VitoriaVitoriaBotafogoBotafogo
1.06Goals scored / game1.36
1.45Goals conceded / game1.61
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Vitoria 33 games, Botafogo 33 games.

VitoriaVitoriaBotafogoBotafogo
33%Games with a clean sheet15%
30%Games they failed to score24%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Vitoria
1–0
Botafogo
Botafogo
0–0
Vitoria
Vitoria
0–0
Botafogo
Botafogo
0–0
Vitoria
Botafogo
1–1
Vitoria
Form check

Their recent form.

Vitoria
Vitoria
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
CoritibavVitoria
2–0
L
VitoriavAtletico Paranaense
1–1
D
CorinthiansvVitoria
1–1
D
Sao PaulovVitoria
2–1
L
VitoriavChapecoense-sc
4–0
W
Botafogo
Botafogo
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
RemovBotafogo
2–1
L
InternacionalvBotafogo
3–0
L
BotafogovChapecoense-sc
1–0
W
CoritibavBotafogo
1–1
D
BotafogovVasco DA Gama
1–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21