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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Vitoria
Vitoria
15th · 38 pts·WLDDL
vs
—
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
3rd · 57 pts·WWLWW
The story

Vitoria host Cruzeiro with both sides chasing continental spots

Vitoria look to bridge the two-point gap to the Copa Sudamericana places while Cruzeiro aim to consolidate their top-six standing with 11 games remaining.

Match news & current form

Vitoria enter this fixture 13th in the table on 33 points, sitting just one result away from the Copa Sudamericana qualification zone. Their recent form has been a mixture of resilience at home and struggles on the road, exemplified by a 2-2 draw against Mirassol last time out. However, they have proven difficult to beat at the Barradas recently, claiming 1-0 wins over both Gremio and Botafogo in their last three home outings.

Cruzeiro currently hold 6th place with 42 points, maintaining a seven-point cushion within the Copa Sudamericana places. While they have secured three wins in their last five matches—including a 2-1 victory over Corinthians and a 3-1 win against Atletico Paranaense—their away form remains modest. A recent 1-2 defeat at Santos highlighted their inconsistency on the road, where they have managed just five wins all season.

Head-to-head history

Cruzeiro have dominated this fixture historically, with Vitoria failing to win 21 of the last 22 meetings between the two clubs. The reverse fixture in April saw Cruzeiro claim a comfortable 3-0 victory, and they have outscored Vitoria 8-3 across their last four encounters.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Cruzeiro have seen both teams score in ten consecutive matches leading into this fixture.
  • Vitoria forward Carlos Rene has been the primary source of goals lately, netting three of the team's last four strikes.
  • Cruzeiro have won three of the last five meetings between these sides, including a 3-1 win in late 2025.
  • Vitoria have kept two clean sheets in their last three home matches, both resulting in 1-0 victories.
Key players & missing men

Kaio Jorge is the man in form for the visitors, having scored twice in his last 331 minutes of action. Vitoria will rely heavily on Carlos Rene to break through a Cruzeiro defence that has struggled for clean sheets. The hosts are missing a significant number of players including Anderson, Baralhas, Camutanga, Dudu, Edu, and Emmanuel Martinez. Cruzeiro travel without Gabriel Pec, Jonathan Jesus, and L. Sinisterra.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Vitoria1.6
–
1.1Cruzeiro
Season average total: 2.74 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Vitoria winDrawCruzeiro win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Cruzeiro
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

VitoriaVitoriaCruzeiroCruzeiro
1.06Goals scored / game1.58
1.45Goals conceded / game1.39
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Vitoria 33 games, Cruzeiro 33 games.

VitoriaVitoriaCruzeiroCruzeiro
33%Games with a clean sheet24%
30%Games they failed to score12%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Vitoria
1–3
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
3–0
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
3–1
Vitoria
Vitoria
0–0
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
2–2
Cruzeiro
Form check

Their recent form.

Vitoria
Vitoria
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
CoritibavVitoria
2–0
L
VitoriavAtletico Paranaense
1–1
D
CorinthiansvVitoria
1–1
D
Sao PaulovVitoria
2–1
L
VitoriavChapecoense-sc
4–0
W
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
CruzeirovRemo
1–0
W
GremiovCruzeiro
2–4
W
RB BragantinovCruzeiro
4–2
L
CruzeirovSao Paulo
2–0
W
VitoriavCruzeiro
1–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21