Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 0h
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Vitoria
Vitoria
15th · 38 pts·WLDDL
vs
—
Fluminense
Fluminense
4th · 54 pts·WLLLW
The story

Vitoria host Fluminense chasing late Sudamericana push

With five games remaining, Vitoria aim to close the four-point gap on the Copa Sudamericana places as fourth-placed Fluminense look to cement their grip on Copa Libertadores qualification.

Match news & current form

Vitoria sit 14th on 38 points, three places and four points shy of the Copa Sudamericana positions. Their recent momentum has stalled following a 2-0 defeat away at Coritiba, leaving them with one win, two draws and two losses from their last five league outings. However, the Barradao remains their stronghold, with the hosts taking 32 of their 38 total points on home soil this season.

Fluminense enter the contest fourth on 54 points, sitting 12 points clear of the cut for Copa Libertadores places. They halted a three-match losing streak with a 2-1 comeback victory over Internacional last time out, having previously suffered consecutive league losses against Chapecoense, Santos and Flamengo.

Head-to-head history

The reverse fixture in May delivered an entertaining 2-2 draw at the Maracana. Across their last five encounters, honours are completely even with one win apiece alongside three stalemates, including a 1-1 draw in April 2025 and a 2-1 victory for Vitoria in late 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Vitoria have collected 32 of their 38 league points at home, winning 10 of 16 matches at the Barradao.
  • Fluminense have lost three of their last four matches in Serie A.
  • Both teams scored in the reverse fixture between the sides, which ended 2-2 in May.
Key players & missing men

Neither side has reported fresh injury or suspension concerns ahead of kickoff, leaving both squads fully equipped for this round 34 meeting at the Barradao.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Vitoria1.5
–
1.1Fluminense
Season average total: 2.56 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Vitoria winDrawFluminense win
Market call
Double chance : Vitoria or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

VitoriaVitoriaFluminenseFluminense
1.06Goals scored / game1.58
1.45Goals conceded / game1.27
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Vitoria 33 games, Fluminense 33 games.

VitoriaVitoriaFluminenseFluminense
33%Games with a clean sheet18%
30%Games they failed to score12%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Fluminense
2–2
Vitoria
Vitoria
0–1
Fluminense
Fluminense
1–1
Vitoria
Vitoria
2–1
Fluminense
Fluminense
0–1
Vitoria
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Vitoria
E. Britez
Out · Yellow Cards
Vitoria
Camutanga
Out · Broken Leg
Vitoria
Dudu
Out · Back Injury
Vitoria
Edu
Out · Achilles Tendon Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Vitoria
Vitoria
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
CoritibavVitoria
2–0
L
VitoriavAtletico Paranaense
1–1
D
CorinthiansvVitoria
1–1
D
Sao PaulovVitoria
2–1
L
VitoriavChapecoense-sc
4–0
W
Fluminense
Fluminense
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
FluminensevInternacional
2–1
W
Chapecoense-scvFluminense
2–1
L
FluminensevSantos
1–2
L
FlamengovFluminense
1–0
L
FluminensevCoritiba
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21