Sixth-placed Werder Bremen look to protect their unbeaten home record when they welcome tenth-placed Hoffenheim to the Weserstadion.
Werder Bremen have made a good start to the campaign, sitting sixth on 12 points after seven matches. Unbeaten in their last six league outings, they edged FSV Mainz 05 3-2 away from home in their previous Bundesliga fixture. Bremen have also remained steady on home soil with two wins and a draw from three league games at the Weserstadion.
Hoffenheim sit tenth with nine points after seven games, having had a mixed start. However, momentum is building after consecutive league wins, including an impressive 3-0 home victory against Bayer Leverkusen last time out and a 2-1 away triumph at Borussia Mönchengladbach before that.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
1899 Hoffenheim are the stronger side — 94 rating points clear of Werder Bremen.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Werder Bremen 7 games, 1899 Hoffenheim 7 games.
Bundesliga (Germany) standings · both teams highlighted in context.