Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Bundesliga (Germany)
·
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
6th · 12 pts·DWDDW
vs
—
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
10th · 9 pts·WLLWW
The story

Werder Bremen host Hoffenheim after strong early start

Sixth-placed Werder Bremen look to protect their unbeaten home record when they welcome tenth-placed Hoffenheim to the Weserstadion.

Match news & current form

Werder Bremen have made a good start to the campaign, sitting sixth on 12 points after seven matches. Unbeaten in their last six league outings, they edged FSV Mainz 05 3-2 away from home in their previous Bundesliga fixture. Bremen have also remained steady on home soil with two wins and a draw from three league games at the Weserstadion.

Hoffenheim sit tenth with nine points after seven games, having had a mixed start. However, momentum is building after consecutive league wins, including an impressive 3-0 home victory against Bayer Leverkusen last time out and a 2-1 away triumph at Borussia Mönchengladbach before that.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these sides have leaned towards Hoffenheim, who have won four of the last five encounters. That includes both league fixtures last season, with Hoffenheim winning 2-0 in Bremen in January 2026 before sealing a 1-0 victory at home in May 2026. Bremen's lone recent success was a wild 4-3 away victory in September 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last six Bundesliga games.
  • Werder Bremen hold an unbeaten 2-1-0 record at home in the league this season.
  • Hoffenheim have won each of the last three head-to-head clashes.
  • Hoffenheim arrive having won their last two league matches.
Key players & missing men

Goalkeepers Karl Jakob Hein for Bremen and Oliver Baumann for Hoffenheim are set to feature between the posts. Neither side has confirmed absentees on the structured missing list, though Bremen welcomed back midfielder Senne Lynen in midweek cup action, with Olivier Deman also closing in on a potential return to the squad.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Werder Bremen2.5
–
1.71899 Hoffenheim
Season average total: 4.17 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Werder Bremen winDraw1899 Hoffenheim win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Werder Bremen
1606
1899 Hoffenheim
1700

1899 Hoffenheim are the stronger side — 94 rating points clear of Werder Bremen.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.45
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
2.07
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Werder BremenWerder Bremen1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
2.14Goals scored / game2.00
2.00Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Werder Bremen 7 games, 1899 Hoffenheim 7 games.

Werder BremenWerder Bremen1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
0%Games with a clean sheet14%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

1899 Hoffenheim
1–0
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0–2
1899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
1–3
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
3–4
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
Werder Bremen
Form check

Their recent form.

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
FSV Mainz 05vWerder Bremen
2–3
W
Werder BremenvSC Paderborn 07
2–2
D
Borussia DortmundvWerder Bremen
2–2
D
Werder BremenvFC Augsburg
3–2
W
1. FC KölnvWerder Bremen
1–1
D
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
1899 HoffenheimvBayer Leverkusen
3–0
W
Borussia Mönchengladbachv1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
W
1899 HoffenheimvHamburger SV
2–3
L
SC Paderborn 07v1899 Hoffenheim
3–1
L
1899 HoffenheimvVfB Stuttgart
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Bundesliga (Germany) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Bayern MünchenBayern München
7
5
2
0
+19
17
2
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
7
5
2
0
+8
17
3
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
7
4
1
2
+7
13
4
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
7
4
1
2
+4
13
5
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
7
4
0
3
+9
12
6
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
7
3
3
1
+1
12
7
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
7
3
1
3
+3
10
8
SV ElversbergSV Elversberg
7
3
1
3
-3
10
9
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
7
2
3
2
+4
9
10
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
7
3
0
4
+0
9
11
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
7
3
0
4
-10
9
12
1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
7
2
2
3
-3
8
13
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
7
2
2
3
-3
8
14
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
7
2
2
3
-7
8
15
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
7
2
0
5
-3
6
16
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
7
1
3
3
-3
6
17
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
7
1
3
3
-12
6
18
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
7
1
0
6
-11
3