Winlytics.AI
Full time
Bundesliga (Germany)
·
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
5th · 15 pts·WDDWW
vs
—
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
10th · 9 pts·LDLDL
The story

Unbeaten Augsburg visit Werder Bremen at the Weserstadion

Werder Bremen look to halt FC Augsburg's unbeaten start to the season as the visitors aim to maintain their position in the Bundesliga's top four.

Match news & current form

Werder Bremen sit 10th with four points after three games following a 1-1 draw against FC Köln. Manager Daniel Thioune, who guided the club to safety last season, has overseen a steady start including a notable 3-1 win over RB Leipzig, though the side struggled against the press in their recent stalemate.

FC Augsburg have enjoyed a flying start to the campaign, sitting 4th with seven points. Manuel Baum's side followed up a 4-1 win at Eintracht Frankfurt with a 3-0 victory over FC Schalke 04. Although their three-match winning streak ended with a 2-2 draw against Bayer Leverkusen, they have scored at least twice in every league game so far.

Head-to-head history

Augsburg have dominated recent trips to Bremen, winning on their last two visits to the Weserstadion by scores of 2-0 and 3-1. In fact, Augsburg are unbeaten in their last four competitive meetings with Werder Bremen dating back to 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Augsburg have won four of their last five competitive away matches.
  • Werder Bremen have both scored and conceded in all three of their Bundesliga matches this season.
  • Augsburg have scored two or more goals in every league outing so far this term.
  • Bremen have taken four points from three games, a significantly better start than the previous campaign.
Key players & missing men

Niclas Füllkrug is the primary threat for the hosts, having scored three goals in his first four appearances since returning to the club. However, Bremen are hampered by a long injury list including midfielders Jens Stage and Senne Lynen, alongside Felix Agu, Justin Njinmah, and Keke Topp. Augsburg are without Samuel Mounie and Tim Breithaupt, while Aljoscha Kade and Seydouba Suso also remain sidelined.

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We have published a signal on Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Werder Bremen2.6
–
2.1FC Augsburg
Season average total: 4.71 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Werder Bremen winDrawFC Augsburg win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or FC Augsburg
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Werder Bremen
1606
FC Augsburg
1636

FC Augsburg are the stronger side — 30 rating points clear of Werder Bremen.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
Goals scored
1.70
Expected (xG)
1.50
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
Goals scored
2.10
Expected (xG)
2.06
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Werder BremenWerder BremenFC AugsburgFC Augsburg
2.13Goals scored / game2.25
1.75Goals conceded / game1.88
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Werder Bremen 8 games, FC Augsburg 8 games.

Werder BremenWerder BremenFC AugsburgFC Augsburg
13%Games with a clean sheet13%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Werder Bremen
3–2
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
1–3
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
0–0
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0–2
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
2–2
Werder Bremen
Form check

Their recent form.

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
Werder Bremenv1899 Hoffenheim
2–0
W
FSV Mainz 05vWerder Bremen
2–3
W
Werder BremenvSC Paderborn 07
2–2
D
Borussia DortmundvWerder Bremen
2–2
D
Werder BremenvFC Augsburg
3–2
W
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
FC AugsburgvSC Freiburg
1–2
L
FC AugsburgvUnion Berlin
1–1
D
SV ElversbergvFC Augsburg
4–3
L
FC AugsburgvBayern München
2–2
D
Werder BremenvFC Augsburg
3–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Bundesliga (Germany) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Bayern MünchenBayern München
8
5
3
0
+19
18
2
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
8
5
3
0
+8
18
3
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
8
5
1
2
+8
16
4
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
8
5
0
3
+11
15
5
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
8
4
3
1
+3
15
6
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
8
4
1
3
+2
13
7
SV ElversbergSV Elversberg
8
4
1
3
+0
13
8
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
8
3
2
3
-5
11
9
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
8
3
1
4
+0
10
10
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
8
2
3
3
+3
9
11
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
8
3
0
5
-1
9
12
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
8
3
0
5
-2
9
13
1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
8
2
3
3
-3
9
14
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
8
2
3
3
-3
9
15
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
8
3
0
5
-12
9
16
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
8
1
4
3
-12
7
17
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
8
1
3
4
-5
6
18
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
8
1
1
6
-11
4