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Full time
Bundesliga (Austria)
·
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
7th · 12 pts·LLWDL
vs
—
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
4th · 19 pts·LWWDD
The story

Sturm Graz chase the summit as WSG languish below

Sturm Graz travel to Innsbruck looking to solidify their title credentials against a WSG Wattens side struggling to climb out of the bottom half of the table.

Match news & current form

WSG Wattens enter this clash in inconsistent form, having managed only one win in their last five outings. While they recently thrashed Wieselburg 6-0, they have suffered heavy defeats to Qarabag and Hertha BSC. Philipp Semlic’s side is currently languishing in the bottom half of the Bundesliga with 21 points and will be desperate to bounce back after a 2-0 defeat to Wolfsberger last time out.

Sturm Graz are in imperious form, arriving with five consecutive wins across all competitions. Christian Ilzer’s men sit near the top of the table with 31 points and recently secured a confident 2-0 victory over Rapid Vienna. Their momentum is further bolstered by back-to-back wins against Heart of Midlothian and a high-scoring 4-4 friendly draw with FC Copenhagen, showcasing a potent but occasionally open attacking style.

Head-to-head history

Sturm Graz have historically dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten meetings. WSG have struggled to contain the Graz outfit, losing seven of their last ten encounters against them, with only two victories in that span.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Sturm Graz have won 10 of their last 16 away matches in the Bundesliga.
  • WSG Wattens have failed to win four of their last five matches across all competitions.
  • Sturm Graz are currently on a two-game winning streak in the league.
  • Seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings have ended in a Sturm Graz victory.
Key players & missing men

Sturm Graz playmaker Otar Kiteishvili is on the verge of a major milestone, needing just one more goal to reach 50 in the Austrian Bundesliga. He remains their primary creative threat alongside Seedy Jatta. For the hosts, Moritz Wels is expected to provide the spark in midfield, while Valentino Müller is chasing his 50th career win in the top flight. Mahamadou Diarra is also set to make his 50th Bundesliga appearance. No major injuries have been reported for either side.

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Our model prices every market we cover on WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
WSG Wattens1.2
–
1.5Sturm Graz
Season average total: 2.65 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
WSG Wattens winDrawSturm Graz win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Sturm Graz
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

WSG Wattens
1292
Sturm Graz
1472

Sturm Graz are the stronger side — 180 rating points clear of WSG Wattens.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

WSG WattensWSG WattensSturm GrazSturm Graz
1.27Goals scored / game1.73
1.55Goals conceded / game1.18
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — WSG Wattens 11 games, Sturm Graz 11 games.

WSG WattensWSG WattensSturm GrazSturm Graz
27%Games with a clean sheet27%
18%Games they failed to score9%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

WSG Wattens
1–1
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
1–0
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1–3
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
0–3
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
4–2
WSG Wattens
Form check

Their recent form.

WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Lask LinzvWSG Wattens
2–1
L
WSG WattensvGrazer AK
1–1
D
Wolfsberger ACvWSG Wattens
0–2
W
WSG WattensvRied
1–2
L
Rapid ViennavWSG Wattens
3–0
L
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Wolfsberger ACvSturm Graz
1–1
D
Sturm GrazvRied
2–2
D
Sturm GrazvGrazer AK
6–1
W
Austria ViennavSturm Graz
0–2
W
Red Bull SalzburgvSturm Graz
3–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Bundesliga (Austria) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
11
10
0
1
+24
30
2
Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
11
8
3
0
+23
27
3
Lask LinzLask Linz
11
7
1
3
+13
22
4
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
11
5
4
2
+6
19
5
TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
11
5
2
4
+1
17
6
RiedRied
11
4
4
3
+1
16
7
WSG WattensWSG Wattens
11
3
3
5
-3
12
8
SCR AltachSCR Altach
11
3
1
7
-6
10
9
Grazer AKGrazer AK
11
2
4
5
-19
10
10
Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau
11
2
2
7
-16
8
11
Austria ViennaAustria Vienna
11
2
1
8
-12
7
12
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
11
1
3
7
-12
6