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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
7th · 15 pts·DDWWL
vs
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
5th · 15 pts·DDDWW
The story

Continental contenders clash as Lubin host Pogon Szczecin

Separated by only goal difference, Zaglebie Lubin and Pogon Szczecin face off in a high-stakes battle to solidify their early-season grip on European qualification spots.

Match news & current form

Zaglebie Lubin enter this fixture in 6th place, currently holding a continental spot with 7 points. They have found a steady rhythm at home, recently securing a 2-1 victory over Slask Wroclaw and a 2-0 win against Piast Gliwice. Their momentum was slightly checked last time out by a 0-0 stalemate away at Radomiak Radom, but they remain a formidable prospect at the KGHM Zagłębie Arena.

Pogon Szczecin sit just one place above their hosts in 5th, also on 7 points and occupying a European berth. Their recent form has been volatile; after impressive wins over Cracovia and Motor Lublin, they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Legia Warszawa and were held to a 2-2 draw by Wisla Krakow in their most recent outing.

Head-to-head history

Historically, there is very little to separate these two sides. Across 37 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin hold a marginal lead with 13 wins to Zaglebie Lubin's 12, alongside 12 draws. This fixture typically promises action, with an all-time average of 2.86 goals per match between the pair.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Zaglebie Lubin have won 6 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
  • Pogon Szczecin have struggled for consistency recently, winning only 4 of their last 10 games.
  • The hosts have kept clean sheets in two of their last four league fixtures.
  • This fixture has ended in a draw in nearly a third of all historical encounters.
Key players & missing men

Zaglebie Lubin will have to navigate this clash without goalkeeper Dominik Hladun, who is sidelined with an injury. Pogon Szczecin have no new reported absences, allowing them to field a full-strength side as they look to bounce back from a two-game winless run.

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We have published a signal on Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Zaglebie Lubin0.8
1.1Pogon Szczecin
Season average total: 1.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Zaglebie Lubin winDrawPogon Szczecin win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Pogon Szczecin
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Zaglebie Lubin
1398
Pogon Szczecin
1425

Pogon Szczecin are the stronger side — 27 rating points clear of Zaglebie Lubin.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Zaglebie LubinZaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
1.22Goals scored / game1.50
1.11Goals conceded / game0.75
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Zaglebie Lubin 9 games, Pogon Szczecin 8 games.

Zaglebie LubinZaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
33%Games with a clean sheet38%
33%Games they failed to score25%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Zaglebie Lubin
0–0
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
2–0
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
5–1
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1–0
Zaglebie Lubin
Form check

Their recent form.

Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Zaglebie LubinvWisla Plock
0–2
L
Raków CzęstochowavZaglebie Lubin
2–3
W
Zaglebie LubinvGKS Katowice
2–1
W
Wieczysta KrakówvZaglebie Lubin
1–1
D
Zaglebie LubinvPogon Szczecin
0–0
D
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
Piast GliwicevPogon Szczecin
1–2
W
Pogon SzczecinvWieczysta Kraków
2–0
W
Pogon SzczecinvWisla Plock
1–1
D
Zaglebie LubinvPogon Szczecin
0–0
D
Pogon SzczecinvWisla Krakow
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
+8
22
2
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
9
5
4
0
+11
19
3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
8
6
1
1
+10
19
4
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
9
5
2
2
+5
17
5
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
6
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
9
4
3
2
+2
15
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
9
4
3
2
+1
15
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
+1
13
9
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
8
4
0
4
+3
12
10
JagielloniaJagiellonia
8
4
0
4
-1
12
11
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
8
3
2
3
-3
11
12
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
9
1
6
2
+0
9
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
9
2
2
5
-5
8
14
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
-13
8
15
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
9
1
3
5
-4
6
16
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
9
1
3
5
-6
6
17
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
8
1
2
5
-6
5
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
9
1
0
8
-9
3