Winlytics.AI
Full time
Premier League (Russia)
·
Zenit
Zenit
5th · 18 pts·LWLWW
vs
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
3rd · 19 pts·WDWDW
The story

Zenit and CSKA Battle for Premier League Title Foothold

A single point separates these heavyweights as third-place Zenit host fourth-place CSKA Moscow in a critical clash for continental positioning.

Match news & current form

Zenit enter this fixture in third place with 12 points, trailing the league leaders by six. They successfully arrested a minor slump by defeating Fakel 1-0 in their last outing, following a disappointing 2-0 loss to Spartak Moscow. Sergey Semak’s side remains firmly in the title race with 24 games remaining and will look to exploit their home advantage at the Gazprom Arena.

CSKA Moscow sit just one place behind their hosts, also on 12 points, currently occupying a continental qualification spot. Marko Nikolic’s men are unbeaten in their last five matches but have struggled to turn draws into wins, most recently held to a 2-2 stalemate by Akron. They will rely on a defensive unit that has kept two clean sheets in their last three games.

Head-to-head history

Zenit historically dominate this fixture with 22 wins compared to CSKA’s 9. However, recent encounters have been tighter affairs, with CSKA proving difficult to break down, though Zenit secured a 1-0 victory in their most recent league meeting during the 2024/25 campaign.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Zenit have won two of their last three home games by a 3-0 scoreline.
  • CSKA Moscow are undefeated in their last five league matches.
  • Zenit have failed to score in only one of their last five matches across all competitions.
  • CSKA have drawn three of their last five fixtures, including two goalless or low-scoring stalemates.
Key players & missing men

Zenit have bolstered their attack with the high-profile signing of Russia international Alexander Sobolev from Spartak Moscow. However, the hosts are sweating on the fitness of defenders Yuri Gorshkov and Rodrigão, while Sergey Volkov is a long-term absentee with a knee injury. CSKA Moscow report a clean bill of health for their squad, though Chilean midfielder Víctor Méndez is expected to be omitted as he nears a club exit.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Zenit1.5
1.8CSKA Moscow
Season average total: 3.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Zenit winDrawCSKA Moscow win
Market call
Double chance : Zenit or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Zenit
1657
CSKA Moscow
1555

Zenit are the stronger side — 103 rating points clear of CSKA Moscow.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ZenitZenitCSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
2.11Goals scored / game1.67
1.00Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Zenit 9 games, CSKA Moscow 9 games.

ZenitZenitCSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
44%Games with a clean sheet22%
11%Games they failed to score11%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Zenit
1–2
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
1–3
Zenit
Zenit
2–2
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1–1
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
2–0
Zenit
Form check

Their recent form.

Zenit
Zenit
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
BaltikavZenit
2–3
W
ZenitvLokomotiv
2–1
W
ZenitvCSKA Moscow
1–2
L
FakelvZenit
0–1
W
Spartak MoscowvZenit
2–0
L
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
Dinamo MakhachkalavCSKA Moscow
1–3
W
CSKA MoscowvRubin
1–1
D
ZenitvCSKA Moscow
1–2
W
AkronvCSKA Moscow
2–2
D
CSKA MoscowvLokomotiv
3–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Russia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
9
6
3
0
+7
21
2
DynamoDynamo
9
6
1
2
+6
19
3
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
9
5
4
0
+6
19
4
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
9
6
1
2
+9
19
5
ZenitZenit
9
6
0
3
+10
18
6
RubinRubin
9
2
6
1
+1
12
7
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
9
4
0
5
-1
12
8
BaltikaBaltika
9
3
2
4
+2
11
9
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
9
2
5
2
-1
11
10
AkhmatAkhmat
9
2
4
3
+0
10
11
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
9
1
6
2
-3
9
12
FC RostovFC Rostov
9
2
2
5
-7
8
13
AkronAkron
9
1
5
3
-7
8
14
LokomotivLokomotiv
9
1
4
4
-3
7
15
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
9
1
2
6
-12
5
16
FakelFakel
9
0
3
6
-7
3